Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Braga

Borevkovic (4'), Oliveira (37'), Freire (79'), Mukendi (83'), Mendes (85'), Villanueva (90')

Arrey-Mbi (42'), Bambu (56'), Ferreira (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Braga
43.9% ( 0.45)	25.42% ( -0.09)	30.68% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.02% (

0.23)

48.98% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

0.21)

71.07% (

-0.2)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.31)

22.27% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

0.46)

55.71% (

-0.46)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

-0.13)

29.72% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

-0.16)

65.78% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.9%

Braga 30.68%

Draw 25.42%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.68%