Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2025 at 6.45pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 2
Braga

Schettine (4')
Miguel Costa Santos (43'), de Brito Gonzaga (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moutinho (66'), Horta (90+4')
Horta (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Moreirense
Friday, January 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Braga
21.11% ( 0.22)	25.16% ( 0.42)	53.73% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 46.95% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

-1.32)

54.89% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

-1.1)

76.18% (

1.09)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59% (

-0.52)

40.99% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

-0.47)

77.55% (

0.46)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

-0.78)

20.42% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

-1.24)

52.87% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 21.11%

Braga 53.73%

Draw 25.16%

Moreirense	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.11%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.73%