Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2025 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Guilherme Schettine 4' goal
  • Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Moutinho 66'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 90'+5'

Moreirense vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2025 8.15pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Alan

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 8.30pm
Braga 3 - 0 Boavista
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Moreirense 21.11% (+0.23)
Draw 25.16% (+0.42)
Braga 53.73% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.95% (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.1% (-1.32)
Under 2.5 54.89% (+1.32)
Over 3.5 23.81% (-1.10)
Under 3.5 76.18% (+1.10)
Over 4.5 10.61% (-0.69)
Under 4.5 89.38% (+0.69)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 59% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 40.99% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 22.45% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 77.55% (+0.47)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 79.57% (-0.78)
Under 0.5 20.42% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 47.13% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 52.87% (+1.25)

Score analysis

Moreirense 21.11%
Draw 25.16%
Braga 53.73%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 7.47% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.33% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.37% (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.16%
Braga
0-1 @ 13.3% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 10.56% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.73%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martinez 43' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 56' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 76' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo 25'
  • goal Luis Nlavo 53'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 82'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2024 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • goal L. Asue 57'
  • goal L. Asue 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 8' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 34'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 36'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Sep 9, 2023 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 16' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 40' goal
  • Madson 45'+1' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 65' yellowcard
  • goal Rony Lopes 27'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 32'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 55'
  • goal Simon Banza 82'
  • goal Ali Elmusrati 90'+6'
Taca de Portugal
Nov 10, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 15' goal
  • Diego Lainez 88' goal
  • goal Platiny 27'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2022 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Vitor Tormena 23' yellowcard
  • Ali Elmusrati 48' goal
  • Andre Horta 68' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 72' goal
  • Ali Elmusrati 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Pacheco 35'