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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Braga

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Braga


Bucca (84'), Varela (87'), Manu (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Ouazzani (90+3')
Martinez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Estoril
Sunday, January 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Lusitano Evora
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Braga

Braga head into this encounter on the back of four consecutive away victories in the top flight, leaving them with the second-best away record in the division. While Estrela have been solid at home, their recent loss to Estoril has exposed vulnerabilities, leaving them susceptible to the visitors, making a win for the Archbishops the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBraga
24.62% (0.167 0.17) 24.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 51.16% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.044000000000004 0.04)47.78% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.039999999999999 0.04)69.97% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.167 0.17)33.71% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.181 0.18)70.37% (-0.182 -0.18)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)18.68% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98% (-0.1 -0.1)50.02% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 24.62%
    Braga 51.16%
    Draw 24.21%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.62%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.16%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Braga

Estrela Amadora
11.8%
Draw
11.8%
Braga
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
1-1
Estrela Amadora
El Ouazzani (53')
Moutinho (67'), Zalazar (86'), Marques (87')
Kikas (80')
Keliano (45'), Nani (86'), Ruiz (90'), Bucca (90'), Lopes (90+7')
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Braga
3-0
Estrela Amadora
Banza (57' pen.), Bruma (84'), Fernandes (90+3')
Mendes (69'), Banza (82')

Bucca (81')
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
2-4
Braga
Kikas (75'), Felipe (79')
Cordeiro (17')
Djalo (13', 49'), Banza (68'), Horta (90+4')
Fonte (44'), Magalhaes (75'), Saatci (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon21163257164151
2Benfica21152449183147
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2112272522338
6Casa Pia219662725233
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
8Estoril PraiaEstoril218672632-630
9FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
10Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
11MoreirenseMoreirense2165102531-623
12AroucaArouca2165101932-1323
13Gil Vicente215792332-922
14Nacional2164111928-922
15AVS213991631-1518
16Estrela Amadora2145121834-1617
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2126131436-2212


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