Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 84' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 87' yellowcard
  • Manu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 79'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 90'+3'

Estrela Amadora vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2025 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 4 Estoril
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 6.00pm
Benfica 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result

Estrela Amadora 24.62% (+0.17)
Draw 24.22% (+0.03)
Braga 51.16% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.9% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.21% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.78% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.97% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.69% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.31% (-0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 66.29% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 33.71% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 29.63% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 70.37% (-0.19)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 81.32% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.68% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 49.98% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 50.02% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 24.62%
Draw 24.21%
Braga 51.16%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.72% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.26% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.21%
Braga
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Amine El Ouazzani 53' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 86' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Keliano 45'
  • goal Kikas 80'
  • yellowcard Nani 86'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 90'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 69' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 82' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Cordeiro 17' yellowcard
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Jean Felipe 79' goal
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 13'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 44'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 49'
  • goal Simon Banza 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 75'
  • yellowcard Serdar Saatci 78'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'