Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Braga |
24.62% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 51.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% (![]() | 47.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% (![]() | 69.97% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% (![]() | 18.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% (![]() | 50.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.85% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.62% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 10.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |