Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 29, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Casa Pia

El Ouazzani (45+2')
Bambu (63'), Arrey-Mbi (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Segovia (40'), Moreira (70')
Larrazabal (25'), Mukendi (66'), Geraldes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Braga
Sunday, December 22 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Arouca
Friday, December 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
72.54% ( 0.23)	16.55% ( -0.09)	10.91% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04% (

-0.03)

36.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

-0.04)

59.14% (

0.03)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.12% (

0.04)

8.88% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.62% (

0.11)

30.38% (

-0.11)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.33% (

-0.29)

43.67% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.15% (

-0.24)

79.85% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Braga 72.53%

Casa Pia 10.91%

Draw 16.55%

Braga	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.53%	1-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 16.55%	1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.91%