Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 2
Braga

Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Benfica
Sunday, December 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Braga
64.94% ( -0.19)	19.34% ( 0.07)	15.72% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55% (

-0.09)

38.46% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26% (

-0.09)

60.75% (

0.09)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.87% (

-0.07)

11.13% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.43% (

-0.16)

35.57% (

0.17)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56% (

0.1)

37.44% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

0.1)

74.23% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Benfica 64.94%

Braga 15.72%

Draw 19.34%

Benfica	Draw	Braga
2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.31% Total : 64.94%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.34%	1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.72%