Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.