Arouca vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.