MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 13:42:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Moreirense

Arouca
1 - 0
Moreirense

Jason (77')
Trezza (37'), Fukui (41'), Fontan (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Moreirense

While the hosts have avoided defeat in their last three games, their single win in this streak does not seem entirely convincing, especially against Moreirense, who have enjoyed success in recent head-to-head meetings, making a tightly contested draw the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawMoreirense
38.65% (0.27 0.27) 27.71% (-0.131 -0.13) 33.64% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 48.45% (0.37 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (0.471 0.47)57.35% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (0.375 0.38)78.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.38800000000001 0.39)28.81% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.481 0.48)64.66% (-0.479 -0.48)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (0.152 0.15)31.94% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (0.171 0.17)68.4% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 38.65%
    Moreirense 33.63%
    Draw 27.71%
AroucaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Arouca vs Moreirense

Arouca
48.0%
Draw
36.0%
Moreirense
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Moreirense
3-1
Arouca
Nlavo (9'), Alan (45+2' pen.), Madson (65')
Ofori (59')
Simao (3')
Quaresma (74'), Faria Camara Lamba (83')
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Moreirense
1-0
Arouca
Infande (10')
Ofori (26')

Kouassi (19')
Oct 27, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
0-1
Moreirense

Trezza (37'), Kouassi (46')
Marcelo (39')
Antonisse (76')
Antonisse (89')
Dec 22, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Moreirense
1-2
Arouca
Luis (44' pen.)
Esgaio (70'), Mujica (79')
Feb 26, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Arouca
1-1
Moreirense
Bruninho (79')
Kouassi (67'), Bruninho (86'), Nunes (90+4')
Yan (44')
Paulinho (45+2'), Pacheco (56')
Pacheco (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon21163257164151
2Benfica21152449183147
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2112272522338
6Casa Pia219662725233
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
8Estoril PraiaEstoril218672632-630
9FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
10Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
11MoreirenseMoreirense2165102531-623
12AroucaArouca2165101932-1323
13Gil Vicente215792332-922
14Nacional2164111928-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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