Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Moreirense |
38.65% (![]() | 27.71% (![]() | 33.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.65% (![]() | 57.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% (![]() | 78.17% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% (![]() | 28.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% (![]() | 64.66% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.06% (![]() | 31.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% (![]() | 68.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 51 |
2 | Benfica | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 18 | 31 | 47 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 23 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |