Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 39.63% ( | 27.9% ( | 32.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( | 78.86% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( | 28.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( | 33.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( | 69.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.47% |