Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-1 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
7.76% ( -0)	14.91% ( -0)	77.33% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.25% (

-0.01)

39.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.89% (

-0.01)

62.1% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.71% (

-0.02)

52.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.81% (

-0.01)

86.19% (

0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.53%

8.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.62% (

-0)

29.38%

Score Analysis

SC Farense 7.76%

Benfica 77.32%

Draw 14.91%

SC Farense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.87% 2-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 7.76%	1-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.91%	0-2 @ 13.49% 0-3 @ 11.1% 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-5 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.39% 1-6 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.9% Total : 77.32%