Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%).