Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Pina Manique
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Benfica

Gyokeres (42' pen.)
Araujo (45')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Schjelderup (29', 29')
Fernandez (58')
Benfica win 7-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Porto
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%).

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
46.27% (-0.118 -0.12)23.8% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)29.94% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 59.76% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (0.232 0.23)42.09% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (0.233 0.23)64.49% (-0.229 -0.23)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.045999999999992 0.05)18.41% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (0.073999999999998 0.07)49.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.217 0.22)26.76% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.286 0.29)62.04% (-0.282 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 46.27%
    Benfica 29.94%
    Draw 23.8%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 29.94%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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