Europa League
Jan 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 6' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Gila 69'

Braga vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
Union SG 2 - 1 Braga

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
Lazio 3 - 1 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result

Braga 50.18% (-0.02)
Draw 24.69% (+0.01)
Lazio 25.13% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.94% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.69% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.64% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.36% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.74% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.26% (+0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 80.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.64% (+0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 65.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.1%
Over 1.5 29.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.79%

Score analysis

Braga 50.17%
Draw 24.68%
Lazio 25.13%
Braga
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 50.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.68%
Lazio
0-1 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.13%