Braga
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Lazio logo

Braga
1 - 0
Lazio

Horta (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gila (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Boavista
Sunday, January 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawLazio
50.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)25.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.012 -0.01)49.31% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.012 -0.01)71.36% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)19.66% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)51.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)34.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.79%
Score Analysis
    Braga 50.17%
    Lazio 25.13%
    Draw 24.68%
BragaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Braga vs Lazio

Braga
33.2%
Draw
23.9%
Lazio
42.9%
205
rhs 2.0


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