Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Como |
| 48.56% ( | 25.33% ( | 26.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( | 51.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( | 73.03% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( | 53.92% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( | 34.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.55% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.11% |