Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.