Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma3 - 1Lazio
We said: Parma 2-2 Lazio
Though plenty of evidence points towards an away win, Parma can pose a threat to most teams in Serie A - albeit holding onto a lead often proves their undoing. Amid a packed schedule - Europa League leaders Lazio face a Coppa Italia tie against Napoli next week - the Aquile may take their foot off the gas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Lazio |
24.03% ( 0.09) | 24.14% ( 0.08) | 51.82% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
