Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.