Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.