Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcus (20')
Rick (30'), Rusev (77'), Seco (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (73'), Serrano (74')
Berchiche (23'), Vivian (48'), Vesga (72'), Serrano (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Betis
Sunday, November 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
48.43% ( 12.66)	25.08% ( -1.4)	26.49% ( -11.26)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

2.33)

49.88% (

-2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

2.05)

71.88% (

-2.05)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.37% (

7.42)

20.62% (

-7.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

10.52)

53.18% (

-10.52)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

-6.41)

33.29% (

6.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

-7.71)

69.9% (

7.71)

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 48.42%

Athletic Bilbao 26.49%

Draw 25.08%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 1.25) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 1.41) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 2.46) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 1.56) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 1.92) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.5) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.88) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.96) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.42%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -2.35) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -1.71) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -2.35) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -1.22) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -1.33) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.49%