La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 19, 2024 at 1pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Espanyol

Vivian (6'), Williams (28', 30'), Berenguer (55')
Berchiche (45+3'), Nunez (48')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tejero (90+2')
Milla (51'), Cabrera (74'), El Hilali (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
60% ( -0.06)	23.21% ( 0.01)	16.79% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

0.06)

53.11% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

0.05)

74.69% (

-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.62% (

17.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.21% (

0.01)

47.78% (

-0)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.05% (

0.11)

44.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.11% (

0.09)

80.89% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 59.99%

Espanyol 16.79%

Draw 23.21%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.99%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.79%