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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Espanyol logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Espanyol

Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Espanyol - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Athletic Bilbao will be bidding to make it four straight wins in all competitions when they resume their La Liga campaign at home to Espanyol on Monday night.

The hosts are currently ninth in the table, boasting 31 points from their 22 league matches this term, while Espanyol sit 13th, four points behind their opponents in this match.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao's Alex Berenguer celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 3, 2022© Reuters

Athletic booked their spot in the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey on Thursday evening courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Real Madrid, with Alex Berenguer scoring the only goal of the contest in the final exchanges.

Having also beaten Barcelona in this season's Copa del Rey, there is no question that the Basque outfit are deserving of a spot in the final four, and they are also unbeaten in their last three league games, overcoming Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, in addition to sharing the points with Alaves.

A record of seven wins, 10 draws and five defeats from 22 matches has brought Athletic 31 points and left them in ninth spot in the table, only five points behind fourth-placed Atletico Madrid.

Marcelino's side, who finished 10th in La Liga last season, have struggled for consistency in front of their own supporters this term, winning four, drawing two and losing four of their 10 home league fixtures.

The Lions are unbeaten against Espanyol in Spain's top flight since November 2018, although three of the last four La Liga matches between the two sides have finished all square.

Espanyol coach Vicente Moreno reacts in October 2021© Reuters

Espanyol, meanwhile, have not been in action since suffering a 4-1 home defeat to Real Betis on January 21, which made it three league matches without a victory.

The Catalan outfit have actually only won one of their last five in Spain's top flight, which came away to Valencia at the end of December, and they have lost at home to Elche and Real Betis since the turn of the year.

The White and Blues have still enjoyed somewhat of a successful campaign back at this level of football, though, picking up 27 points from their 22 matches courtesy of seven wins and six draws.

Espanyol currently occupy 13th position in the table, nine points clear of the relegation zone, while they could potentially move into the top half if they win on Monday and other results go for them this weekend.

Vicente Moreno's side, who are the reigning Segunda Division champions, have held Athletic to draws in their last two encounters, but they suffered a 3-0 loss on their last visit to San Mames in October 2019.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Espanyol La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Espanyol form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Espanyol's Raul de Tomas celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 12, 2021© Reuters

Athletic could be without the services of Unai Vencedor and Nico Williams on Monday through injury, but the home side are otherwise in excellent shape heading into the contest.

Berenguer's late goal against Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey could earn the Spaniard a start, while Mikel Balenziaga is pushing to feature at left-back for the home side.

Head coach Marcelino could also decide to freshen his midfield on Monday, with Oier Zarraga potentially replacing Mikel Vesga to feature alongside Dani Garcia.

As for Espanyol, Yangel Herrera is a doubt through injury, while the visitors will definitely be without leading goalscorer Raul de Tomas through suspension.

De Tomas's absence, which is a huge blow for the Catalan outfit, could open the door for Wu Lei to feature alongside Loren Moron in the final third of the field.

Head coach Moreno is expected to make alterations from the disappointing loss to Betis before the break, with Adri Embarba also pushing to feature in a wide area.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Lekue, Vivian, Martinez, Balenziaga; Berenguer, Zarraga, D Garcia, Muniain; R Garcia, I Williams

Espanyol possible starting lineup:
Diego Lopez; Gil, Gomez, Cabrera, Pedrosa; Embarba, Darder, Morlanes, Puado; Moron, Wu Lei


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol

Athletic will be full of confidence following their victory over Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey, and we are backing the Basque club to win once again here. The absence of De Tomas is a huge blow for Espanyol, who could come up just short at San Mames on Monday night.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.


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Game History

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao
83.6%
Draw
12.6%
Espanyol
3.8%
159
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Spain forward Raul de Tomas pictured in November 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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