Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
36.48% ( 0.92) | 30.04% ( 0.5) | 33.48% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 41.96% ( -1.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.72% ( -1.66) | 65.27% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.92% ( -1.17) | 84.08% ( 1.17) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( -0.27) | 34.18% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.12% ( -0.29) | 70.88% ( 0.29) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( -1.88) | 36.24% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( -1.96) | 73.02% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 37 |
2 | Real Madrid | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |