Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 36.48% ( | 30.04% ( | 33.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.72% ( | 65.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.92% ( | 84.08% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( | 34.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( | 70.88% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.76% ( | 36.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( | 73.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.68% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 33.47% |