Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 0
Lecce

Paz (49'), Cutrone (79')
Van Der Brempt (24'), Goldaniga (66'), Engelhardt (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coulibaly (56'), Pierotti (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Como and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Como
Monday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Lecce
49.02% ( 0.14)	26.42% ( -0)	24.56% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.53% (

-0.1)

56.47% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53% (

-0.08)

77.47% (

0.08)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

0.02)

23.09% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

0.03)

56.94% (

-0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.46% (

-0.18)

38.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.72% (

-0.17)

75.28% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Como 49.02%

Lecce 24.56%

Draw 26.41%

Como	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.56%