Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 2
Lazio

Morente (50')
Dorgu (69'), Rebic (71'), Ramadani (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Castellanos (45+3' pen.), Marusic (87')
Tchaouna (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Monza
Sunday, December 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-6 Inter Milan
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Lazio
23.2% ( -0.84)	25.6% ( -0.44)	51.19% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44% (

0.94)

54.56% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09% (

0.77)

75.9% (

-0.77)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

-0.27)

38.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

-0.26)

75.46% (

0.26)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.94)

21.34% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

1.43)

54.31% (

-1.43)

Score Analysis

Lecce 23.2%

Lazio 51.19%

Draw 25.6%

Lecce	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.2%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.19%