/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Jorrel Hato
38'
-
Brian Brobbey
45'+1'
-
Bertrand Traore
47'
-
Wout Weghorst
83'
-
Loum Tchaouna
12'
-
Luca Pellegrini
46'
-
Nicolo Rovella
45'+2'
-
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
52'
-
Pedro
77'
-
Samuel Gigot
82'
Ajax vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fbrian-brobbey.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Ajax
57.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
23.12%
Lazio
18.92%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
49.58%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
49.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
28.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
71.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
13.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
86.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
83.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
16.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
53.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
46.89%
▲
(+0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
59.64%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
40.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
23.02%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
76.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Ajax
57.95%
Draw
23.12%
Lazio
18.92%
Ajax
1-0
@
12.11%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.95%
2-0 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 57.95%
Draw
1-1
@
10.99%
0-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
0-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
Lazio
0-1
@
6.18%
1-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%
1-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%