Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
1 - 3
Lazio

Traore (47')
Hato (38'), Brobbey (45+1'), Weghorst (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tchaouna (12'), Dele-Bashiru (52'), Pedro (77')
Rovella (45+2'), Pellegrini (46'), Gigot (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Lazio
57.95% ( 0.01)	23.12%	18.92% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.32% (

-0.02)

49.68% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

-0.02)

71.69% (

0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0)

16.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.11% (

-0.01)

46.89% (

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

-0.03)

40.35% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

-0.02)

76.97% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ajax 57.95%

Lazio 18.92%

Draw 23.12%

Ajax	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 57.95%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.92%