MX23RW : Monday, January 13 07:16:12| >> :600:2264043:2264043:
Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Lazio logo

Ajax
1 - 3
Lazio

Traore (47')
Hato (38'), Brobbey (45+1'), Weghorst (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchaouna (12'), Dele-Bashiru (52'), Pedro (77')
Rovella (45+2'), Pellegrini (46'), Gigot (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Ajax 1-2 Lazio

Having already proved that their squad can cope with rotation, Lazio can travel to the Netherlands full of confidence that an unbeaten Europa League run will continue. The Aquile could even fly home with maximum points, leaving a faltering Ajax side in some danger of missing out on a precious top-eight finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLazio
57.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.12%18.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.69% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)40.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)76.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.95%
    Lazio 18.92%
    Draw 23.12%
AjaxDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Ajax vs Lazio

Ajax
30.3%
Draw
23.1%
Lazio
46.7%
195
rhs 2.0
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