/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Wouter Goes
46'
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Troy Parrott
65'
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Mayckel Lahdo
76'
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Wout Weghorst
36'
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Josip Sutalo
45'+2'
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Mika Godts
81'
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F49%2Faz-alkmaar.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
43.84%
▼
(-0.37)
Draw
23.13%
▼
(-0.08)
Ajax
33.03%
▲
(+0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
63.77%
▲
(+0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.52%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 2.5
37.48%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
40.3%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
59.7%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
22.38%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 4.5
77.62%
▼
(-0.48)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
82.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
17.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
51.9%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
48.1%
▼
(-0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
77.35%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 0.5
22.65%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 1.5
43.72%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
56.28%
▼
(-0.76)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
43.84%
Draw
23.13%
Ajax
33.03%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
8.94%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 43.84%
1-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 43.84%
Draw
1-1
@
10.27%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.13%
Ajax
1-2
@
7.63%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.03%
0-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.03%