Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Nov 28, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Galatasaray

Mijnans (2')
van Bommel (6'), Parrott (73'), Smit (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Osimhen (43')
Mertens (84'), Osimhen (88'), Sanchez (89'), Akgun (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 AZ
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Galatasaray

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Bodrumspor 0-1 Galatasaray
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Galatasaray
43.09% ( 0.15)	23.81% ( 0.01)	33.1% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.27% (

-0.11)

40.73% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88% (

-0.11)

63.11% (

0.11)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

0.02)

19.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

0.03)

50.86% (

-0.04)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85% (

-0.14)

24.15% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.21)

58.46% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 43.09%

Galatasaray 33.1%

Draw 23.8%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.1%