Europa League
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Sven Mijnans
2'
-
Ruben van Bommel
6'
-
Troy Parrott
73'
-
Kees Smit
88'
-
Kees Smit
90'+2'
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Victor Osimhen
43'
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Dries Mertens
84'
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Victor Osimhen
88'
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Davinson Sanchez
89'
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Yunus Akgun
90'+6'
AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
43.09%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
23.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Galatasaray
33.1%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
61.29%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
40.73%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
36.88%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
63.11%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
19.69%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
80.3%
▲
(+0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
80.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
49.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
50.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5
75.85%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
24.15%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
41.53%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
58.46%
▲
(+0.21)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
43.09%
Draw
23.8%
Galatasaray
33.1%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
8.97%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.09%
1-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.86%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.8%
2-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.8%
Galatasaray
1-2
@
7.72%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.1%
0-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.1%