Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 2
Willem II

Meerdink (63')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Vaesen (37', 37'), Sandra (41')
Boris (19'), Didillon (59'), Behounek (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 0-1 FC Twente
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Willem II
62.2% ( 1.08)	20.1% ( -0.3)	17.7% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.7% (

0.08)

38.29% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.42% (

0.08)

60.57% (

-0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.18% (

0.32)

11.81% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.95% (

0.68)

37.05% (

-0.68)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

-0.8)

35% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25% (

-0.85)

71.75% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.2%

Willem II 17.7%

Draw 20.1%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.1% Total : 62.2%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.1%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 17.7%