/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
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David Moller Wolfe
10'
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Denso Kasius
90'
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Luuk de Jong
15'
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Noa Lang
22'
AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.69)
2-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.77)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.56)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.53)
4-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 33.54%
2-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.27)
3-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.42%
0-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.52)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.69)
2-3 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.37)
0-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.57)
1-4 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.49)
2-4 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.32)
0-4 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.37)
3-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-88.49)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.04%
