Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 2
PSV

Kasius (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

de Jong (15'), Lang (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 AZ
Sunday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
33.54% ( -4.48)	22.42% ( -0.46)	44.04% ( 4.94)

Both teams to score 66.7% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.27% (

1.48)

33.73% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.44% (

1.66)

55.56% (

-1.67)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

-1.51)

20.6% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-2.44)

53.15% (

2.43)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

2.62)

15.99% (

-2.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

4.6)

45.31% (

-4.6)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 33.54%

PSV Eindhoven 44.04%

Draw 22.42%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.66) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.68) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.76) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.92% Total : 33.54%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.57) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.49) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.31) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.37) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.04%