Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 5, 2024 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 1
Sparta

Verschueren (34' og.), de Jong (37')
Bosz (48')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lauritsen (10')
Clement (47'), van der Kust (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
71.93% ( 0.05)	15.6% ( -0.02)	12.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.07% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.5% (

-0.02)

27.5% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.89% (

-0.02)

48.11% (

0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.27% (

6.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.12% (

0.02)

24.88% (

-0.02)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

-0.06)

34.53% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-0.07)

71.25% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 71.93%

Sparta Rotterdam 12.47%

Draw 15.6%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 71.93%	1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.6%	1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.47%