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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
51.22% ( 0.01) | 23.57% ( -0) | 25.2% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0) | 44.46% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0) | 66.83% ( -0) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% ( 0) | 17.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.17% ( 0.01) | 47.83% ( -0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0) | 67.81% |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |