Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.