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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 68.39% ( | 17.91% ( | 13.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( | 58.2% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.38% ( | 9.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.86% ( | 32.14% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% ( | 75.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 4-0 @ 4.66% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 5-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 5-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 4.28% Total : 68.38% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.7% |