Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.