Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.