Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.37%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.