Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.35%) and 1-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.