Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 2
AZ

Lauritsen (16')
Bakari (45+2'), Eerdhuijzen (90+2'), Clement (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koopmeiners (9'), Mijnans (73')
Mijnans (47'), Kwakman (59'), Poku (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 1-0 Sparta
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
36.48% ( 0.07)	25.56% ( 0.09)	37.95% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

-0.4)

48.24% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

-0.37)

70.39% (

0.37)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

-0.15)

25.74% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

-0.2)

60.67% (

0.2)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.27)

24.93% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44% (

-0.37)

59.56% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 36.48%

AZ Alkmaar 37.95%

Draw 25.56%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.95%