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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.76% ( -0.66) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 40.06% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% ( -0.78) | 41.88% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.79) | 64.29% ( 0.79) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.71) | 23.21% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -1.05) | 57.11% ( 1.05) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.09) | 21.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -0.15) | 53.83% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |