Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 26, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
Groningen

Bacuna (86' og.)
Aiko (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacuna (35'), Peersman (72'), Rente (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 20 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Groningen
41.89% ( -0.19)	24.78% ( 0.05)	33.33% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

-0.2)

45.21% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

-0.19)

67.55% (

0.19)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.17)

21.6% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

-0.26)

54.7% (

0.27)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.01)

26.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.02)

61.23% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 41.9%

Groningen 33.33%

Draw 24.78%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.9%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.33%