Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 4
Utrecht

Lauritsen (90+1' pen.)
Clement (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jensen (15'), Rodriguez (85'), Aaronson (88'), van der Hoorn (90+5')
van der Hoorn (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	FC Utrecht
38.76% ( 0.4)	24.72% ( 0.09)	36.52% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 58.76% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

-0.48)

44.35% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

-0.47)

66.73% (

0.46)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

-0.01)

22.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

-0.01)

56.44% (

0.01)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.49)

23.93% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.7)

58.15% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 38.76%

FC Utrecht 36.52%

Draw 24.71%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.52%