AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
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Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
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Heracles Almelo
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NAC Breda
NEC
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
FC Utrecht

Sparta
1 - 4
Utrecht

Lauritsen (90+1' pen.)
Clement (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jensen (15'), Rodriguez (85'), Aaronson (88'), van der Hoorn (90+5')
van der Hoorn (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
38.76% (0.403 0.4)24.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)36.52% (-0.5 -0.5)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-0.381 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.478 -0.48)44.35% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.467 -0.47)66.73% (0.464 0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)22.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (-0.012 -0.01)56.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (-0.488 -0.49)23.93% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (-0.699 -0.7)58.15% (0.698 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.76%
    FC Utrecht 36.52%
    Draw 24.71%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: Sparta vs Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam
13.6%
Draw
28.8%
FC Utrecht
57.6%
59
Head to Head
May 23, 2024 8pm
Utrecht
3-1
Sparta
Flamingo (41'), Lammers (70'), Jensen (90+3')
Jensen (90+4')
Lauritsen (38')
Clement (35'), Metinho (90+5')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Utrecht
0-1
Sparta

ter Avest (23')
Neghli (68')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sparta
1-2
Utrecht
Neghli (43')
Seuntjens (5'), Lidberg (54')
Leliendal (40'), Barkas (71'), Boussaid (76')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5pm
Sparta
0-1
Utrecht
(Aggregate 1-1 | Sparta win 0-0 on penalties)

van Crooij (90+1')
Viergever (80')
van der Maarel (59'), Bozdogan (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 1, 2023 8pm
Utrecht
1-2
Sparta
Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')
Van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122
> Eredivisie Full Table


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