/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
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Pelle Clement
39'
-
Djevencio van der Kust
68'
-
Tobias Lauritsen
90'+1'
-
Victor Jensen
15'
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Miguel Rodriguez
85'
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Mike van der Hoorn
87'
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Paxten Aaronson
88'
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Mike van der Hoorn
90'+5'
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Fron-jans.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result
Sparta Rotterdam
38.76%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
24.72%
▲
(+0.10)
FC Utrecht
36.52%
▼
(-0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
58.76%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.64%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 2.5
44.35%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 3.5
33.27%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 3.5
66.73%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 4.5
16.99%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
83.01%
▲
(+0.34)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
77.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
56.44%
▲
(+0.02)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
76.07%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
23.93%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 1.5
41.85%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
58.15%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
38.76%
Draw
24.71%
FC Utrecht
36.52%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
@
8.53%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.76%
1-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1
@
11.52%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
FC Utrecht
1-2
@
8.24%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.52%