Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Oct 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 0
Sparta

Soyset Hopland (4'), Trenskow (58')
Bochniewicz (8'), Olsson (9'), van Ee (65'), Brouwers (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Young (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
46.11% ( 0.82)	22.24% ( -0.05)	31.66% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 66.53% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.4% (

-0.09)

33.61% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.59% (

-0.1)

55.42% (

0.1)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

0.26)

15.19% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.19% (

0.48)

43.81% (

-0.48)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.46)

21.56% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-0.71)

54.63% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 46.11%

Sparta Rotterdam 31.66%

Draw 22.24%

Heerenveen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 31.66%