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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 72.91% ( | 15.85% ( | 11.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( | 54.1% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( | 7.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.55% ( | 27.44% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( | 40% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( | 76.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 5-0 @ 2.84% ( 5-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 6-1 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 72.9% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.23% |