Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 19, 2024 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 0
Heerenveen

van Crooij (3', 65'), Nuytinck (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rallis (46'), Brouwers (78'), Conde (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
45.13%	23.58% ( -0)	31.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

0.02)

40.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.26% (

0.02)

62.74% (

-0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

0.01)

18.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.81% (

0.01)

49.19% (

-0)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

0.02)

25.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

0.02)

59.73% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

NEC 45.13%

Heerenveen 31.29%

Draw 23.58%

NEC	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.16% 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.2% 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 45.13%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.29%