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NAC Breda
NEC
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NAC Breda
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
NEC

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Janosek (81')
Greiml (67'), Van den Bergh (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawNEC
36.77% (-1.42 -1.42)24.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.76% (1.399 1.4)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (-0.125 -0.13)43.2% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (-0.125 -0.13)65.6% (0.123 0.12)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.791 -0.79)23.27% (0.791 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-1.17 -1.17)57.2% (1.169 1.17)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.655 0.66)22.25% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (0.977 0.98)55.68% (-0.978 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 36.77%
    NEC 38.76%
    Draw 24.47%
NAC BredaDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 36.77%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.178 0.18)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.254 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.76%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Nijmegen

NAC Breda
21.4%
Draw
28.6%
NEC
50.0%
14
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Nijmegen
0-2
NAC Breda

Barreto (66')
El Allouchi (10' pen.), Van Hooijdonk (20')
Oct 30, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
NAC Breda
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (25'), Malone (35'), Mashart (88')
Ondaan (8')
Bruijn (62'), van Ottele (68'), Odenthal (90+5')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 28
Nijmegen
1-1
NAC Breda
Flemming (79')
Kvida (45'), Wolters (75'), van Landschoot (76')
Verschueren (61')
Monsalve (37'), Stokkers (45'), Riera (89')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 9
NAC Breda
1-0
Nijmegen
Van Hooijdonk (68')
Ilic (30'), Verschueren (80')

Van de Looi (58'), Kvida (72'), van Rooij (88'), Wolters (90')
rhs 2.0


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