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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
| 36.77% ( | 24.47% ( | 38.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( | 23.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( | 57.2% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( | 22.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( | 55.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.76% |