/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fgrolog.png)
-
Koki Ogawa
6'
-
Koki Ogawa
26'
-
Sontje Hansen
32'
-
Vito van Crooij
52'
-
Calvin Verdonk
69'
-
Sami Ouaissa
74'
-
Thomas Ouwejan
86'
-
Marvin Peersman
5'
-
Jorg Schreuders
36'
-
Luciano Valente
43'
NEC vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result
NEC
41.17%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
23.58%
▲
(+0.57)
Groningen
35.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
62.78%
▼
(-2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.94%
▼
(-2.82)
Under 2.5
39.06%
▲
(+2.82)
Over 3.5
38.62%
▼
(-3.02)
Under 3.5
61.38%
▲
(+3.02)
Over 4.5
21.04%
▼
(-2.43)
Under 4.5
78.96%
▲
(+2.43)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
80.67%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 0.5
19.33%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 1.5
48.9%
▼
(-2.42)
Under 1.5
51.1%
▲
(+2.42)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5
77.82%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 0.5
22.18%
▲
(+1.26)
Over 1.5
44.42%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 1.5
55.58%
▲
(+1.94)
Score analysis
NEC
41.17%
Draw
23.58%
Groningen
35.25%
NEC
2-1
@
8.72%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.61)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.17%
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.61)
2-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.17%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▲
(+0.54)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.55)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.58%
2-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.55)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.58%
Groningen
1-2
@
7.99%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.61)
0-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.25%
0-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.61)
0-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.29)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.25%
Head to Head
-
Michael de Leeuw
2'
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
17'
-
Jorgen Strand Larsen
22'
-
Mohamed El Hankouri
60'
-
Laros Duarte
75'
-
Romano Postema
80'
-
Daleho Irandust
87'
-
Romano Postema
90'+1'
-
Ali Akman
13'
-
Souffian Elkarouani
17'
-
Rogier Meijer
27'
-
Lasse Schone
29'
-
Magnus Mattsson
32'