Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
6 - 0
Groningen

Ogawa (6' pen., 26'), Hansen (32'), van Crooij (52'), Ouaissa (74'), Ouwejan (86' pen.)
Verdonk (69')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Peersman (5'), Schreuders (36'), Valente (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Groningen
41.17% ( -0.63)	23.58% ( 0.57)	35.25% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.78% (

-2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.94% (

-2.81)

39.06% (

2.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.62% (

-3.01)

61.38% (

3.02)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

-1.44)

19.33% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9% (

-2.42)

51.1% (

2.42)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

-1.26)

22.18% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

-1.93)

55.58% (

1.93)

Score Analysis

NEC 41.17%

Groningen 35.25%

Draw 23.58%

NEC	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.25%