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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | NEC |
| 14.17% ( | 17.69% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.15% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.3% ( | 55.7% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( | 36.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( | 73.31% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( | 9.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 4.04% ( 1-0 @ 3.34% ( 2-0 @ 1.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 3-1 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.17% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0-3 @ 7.63% ( 1-4 @ 4.61% ( 0-4 @ 4.58% ( 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 1-5 @ 2.21% ( 0-5 @ 2.2% ( 2-5 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 4.81% Total : 68.14% |