Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.