Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 4
Samsunspor

Kara (31')
Ben Ouannes (16'), Kara (36'), Hajradinovic (45+4'), Opoku (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Holse (68', 77'), Aydogdu (71'), Tait (86')
van Drongelen (45+5'), Ntcham (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawSamsunspor
39.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)25.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)34.23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)49.71% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.067 -0.07)71.72% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.54% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)27.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)63.35% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 39.93%
    Samsunspor 34.23%
    Draw 25.83%
KasimpasaDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor

Kasimpasa
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Samsunspor
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 34
Kasimpasa
1-0
Samsunspor
Kara (3')
Fall (41'), Gianniotis (90+4')

Dimata (72'), van Drongelen (78'), Fofana (83')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Samsunspor
4-2
Kasimpasa
Mouandilmadji (11', 22'), Kilinc (60'), Ntcham (75')
Ntcham (44')
Ozcan (90+1'), Da Costa (90+5')
> Preview