Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Aytac Durak Tesisleri

Adana Demirspor
1 - 3
Samsunspor

Barasi (7' pen.)
Kavrazli (14'), Aymbetov (78'), Burak (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Muja (59'), Dimata (90+3'), Aydogdu (90+11')
Satka (25'), Yavru (37'), van Drongelen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Bodrumspor 3-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Samsunspor 4-3 Goztepe SK
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawSamsunspor
25.46% (1.121 1.12)22.3% (0.722 0.72)52.25% (-1.843 -1.84)
Both teams to score 61.35% (-1.357 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (-2.334 -2.33)38.35% (2.334 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (-2.52 -2.52)60.63% (2.521 2.52)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)27.97% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.522 -0.52)63.61% (0.522 0.52)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.18% (-1.395 -1.4)14.82% (1.396 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (-2.733 -2.73)43.12% (2.733 2.73)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 25.46%
    Samsunspor 52.25%
    Draw 22.29%
Adana DemirsporDrawSamsunspor
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.253 0.25)
1-0 @ 5.28% (0.513 0.51)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 25.46%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.503 0.5)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.445 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.483 0.48)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-4 @ 2.29% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 52.25%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor

Adana Demirspor
8.3%
Draw
16.7%
Samsunspor
75.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Samsunspor
1-1
Adana Demirspor
Dimata (90+2')
van Drongelen (44'), Ozturk (77')
Mendoza (41')
Balotelli (45'), Mahammadaliyev (68'), Maestro (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Adana Demirspor
2-3
Samsunspor
Niang (27' pen.), Barasi (70')
Sari (19'), Akbaba (34')
Ntcham (35' pen.), Holse (45+4'), Mouandilmadji (64')
Holse (90+9'), Aydogdu (90+10')
> Preview