Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.