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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
2 - 2
Ajax

Vlap (42', 65')
Besselink (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klaassen (59'), Traore (67')
Hato (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 5-0 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: FC Twente 2-2 Ajax

While Ajax have all the momentum coming into this match, Twente are no pushover on their home patch and are unbeaten in their last three matches against his opponent at this venue. The visitors claimed a massive three points at home last week to keep PSV within touching distance, but we feel that the hosts this week will be able to get something from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
45.27% (-0.672 -0.67) 23.15% (0.216 0.22) 31.58% (0.455 0.46)
Both teams to score 63.02% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.81% (-0.835 -0.84)38.19% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.53% (-0.895 -0.9)60.46% (0.894 0.89)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)17.28% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-1.035 -1.04)47.61% (1.035 1.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)23.82% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (-0.197 -0.2)57.99% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 45.27%
    Ajax 31.58%
    Draw 23.15%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.27%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
22.0%
Draw
19.8%
Ajax
58.2%
91
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
2-1
FC Twente
Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax14103131141733
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1410222619732
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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