/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Michel Vlap
42'
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Gijs Besselink
55'
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Michel Vlap
65'
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Davy Klaassen
59'
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Bertrand Traore
67'
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Jorrel Hato
72'
FC Twente vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fsam-lammers.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result
FC Twente
45.27%
▼
(-0.68)
Draw
23.15%
▲
(+0.22)
Ajax
31.58%
▲
(+0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
63.02%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.81%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
38.19%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 3.5
39.53%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 3.5
60.46%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 4.5
21.76%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 4.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.72)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
82.72%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 0.5
17.28%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
52.39%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 1.5
47.61%
▲
(+1.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
76.18%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
23.82%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
42%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
57.99%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
FC Twente
45.27%
Draw
23.15%
Ajax
31.58%
FC Twente
2-1
@
9.1%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.27%
1-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 45.27%
Draw
1-1
@
10.36%
▲
(+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.15%
2-2 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.15%
Ajax
1-2
@
7.44%
▲
(+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.58%
0-1 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.58%