Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
2 - 2
Ajax

Vlap (42', 65')
Besselink (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klaassen (59'), Traore (67')
Hato (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 5-0 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
45.27% ( -0.67)	23.15% ( 0.22)	31.58% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 63.02% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.81% (

-0.84)

38.19% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.53% (

-0.9)

60.46% (

0.89)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.59)

17.28% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39% (

-1.04)

47.61% (

1.04)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

-0.14)

23.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

-0.2)

57.99% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 45.27%

Ajax 31.58%

Draw 23.15%

FC Twente	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.27%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.58%