Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
3 - 2
PSV

Klaassen (43'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Godts (74')
Brobbey (70'), Berghuis (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

de Jong (18'), Perisic (54')
Flamingo (23'), Karsdorp (76'), de Jong (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 0-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 6-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
45.14% ( 0.51)	22.61% ( -0.09)	32.24% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 65.38% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.77% (

0.26)

35.23% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.75% (

0.28)

57.24% (

-0.29)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

0.29)

16.16% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37% (

0.53)

45.62% (

-0.54)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.98% (

-0.11)

22.01% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

-0.17)

55.33% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Ajax 45.14%

PSV Eindhoven 32.24%

Draw 22.61%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 32.24%