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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.57%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 87.57% ( | 8.3% ( | 4.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.33% ( | 20.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.95% ( | 39.05% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.99% ( | 3.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.43% ( | 13.57% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.54% ( | 48.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.44% ( | 83.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 10.45% ( 4-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 4-1 @ 6.63% ( 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 5-0 @ 6.41% ( 1-0 @ 5.11% ( 5-1 @ 4.65% ( 6-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 6-1 @ 2.71% ( 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 7-0 @ 1.87% ( 5-2 @ 1.68% ( 7-1 @ 1.36% ( 6-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 4.66% Total : 87.57% | 1-1 @ 3.71% ( 2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 8.3% | 1-2 @ 1.34% ( 0-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 4.13% |