Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 1
PSV

Hakimi (55')
Mendes (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lang (34')
Junior (45+3'), Dams (77'), Ledezma (90+1'), Babadi (90+2'), Benitez (90+3'), Benitez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: AZ 1-2 PSV
Saturday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
47.7% ( 0.01)	24.17% ( 0)	28.13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

-0.01)

44.85% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

-0.01)

67.21% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08%

18.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

-0)

50.42% (

-0)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.02)

29.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6% (

-0.02)

65.4% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 47.7%

PSV Eindhoven 28.13%

Draw 24.16%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.27% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.13%